I can't recall the links at the Golf Hotel
but I don't believe the government
of Alassane Ouattara is contemplating
a chip shot or a putt. I read there are only
800 Peacekeepers between his team
and Gbagbo's army. Betting men say
that ethnic ties are paramount and nobody
ever doubted a Bete man's will to fight,
and as for logistics, how long will
an African Union army take to arrive
in Cote d’ Ivoire? Needless to say they will
not be greeted with attieke and grilled fish.
But wedging Gbagbo, freezing World Bank
loans, his bank accounts in Europe, coco
exports have come to port but have not
been able to leave, how long can this last?
More will die including some principals.
Perhaps there will be a palace coup.
Perhaps the will of people written
in the urns will be respected
but only after unnecessary, uncivil
bloodshed, 200 dead thus far.
Indran Amirthanayagam, December 22, 2010